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The following article was published in our article directory on September 15, 2010.
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Stability of the global financial system Call of the East Wall Street

Article Category: World Affairs

Author Name: xia zihui

When the global financial system reform attention to the area of financial regulation, the pro-reform forces again required to have greater leeway and inertial advantage of the U.S. "actively" with the reform of the international monetary system, does not seem realistic. Enough to balance the U.S. influence in the East Wall Street appears, the world should not expect Lehman Brothers set off by the global financial system to achieve a fundamental breakthrough shuffle.

This act of shuffling the global financial system in today's anniversary of the Lehman bankruptcy, the developed countries seems to have been worn.

Although "The Wall Street Journal" also admitted that the Lehman Brothers into bankruptcy protection two years later, the impact of the financial crisis in almost every market around the world everywhere. Not from the U.S. stock market declines after Lehman bankruptcy to recover, the Dow Jones industrial average still higher than the current low level before Lehman Brothers had more than 900 points. And the relative response, emerging market stocks and bonds is limited by Le investor's sought after; while the International Monetary Fund, President of Chinese nationality people Riqian Special Gu Wen Zhu said global systemic Fengxianyouyu Youle G20 this mechanism was significantly decreased; Although the last Sunday in the Basel Banking Supervision on the new global rules for banks to reach a historic agreement in order to avoid excessive accumulation of banks is seen by many as a precursor recent financial crisis that risks and liabilities; despite crisis Since the occurrence of the "BRICs" to represent emerging economies in global economic governance in the right to speak to a certain degree of improvement has been made for centuries a strong sense of superiority of Western industrialized countries now do whatever they cost more and bigger . However, the process of reform the international financial system and the initial results, it is clear from the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers set off the global financial system, shuffle rhythm is to slow down.

U.S. public opinion has already admitted that the original aspirations of the United States-led economic recovery hopes have been dashed. Goldman Sachs economists recently estimated that in the next three quarters, the U.S. annual economic growth rate of government spending will decrease due to loss of about 0.5 percentage points, after the loss of the growth rate will be more. The European Union, raised growth forecasts for this year, but the changes tend to lag behind the European economy in the United States, Europe is expected to be difficult being a lasting economic recovery. Japan seems even worse. Yen's strength against the Japanese export a significant blow to the economy may temporarily halt. It can be said, by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers caused this economic and financial crisis has not completely ended. In support of the fundamentals of the world economic recovery has stabilized to the good before the uncertainty is still present the most appropriate qualifier.

In this age of uncertainty, it is necessary to promote indeed affect the whole body of the international financial system reform, also face more uncertainty. Although the G20 and the G8 initially completed the replacement of old, and many people looking forward to this year's G20 meeting in November in Seoul summit prospects. But I am afraid that the international financial system, the reformers have in mind to understand: the reform of the international financial system the best time window has been missed. U.S. government and its influence on Wall Street bigwigs great success in preventing the collapse of the dollar system. Even if the U.S. voters dissatisfied with Obama should thank him because, after all, Obama will pull the U.S. economy from recession to growth track edge. Was recovered in the United States already has more leeway to deal with the international financial system reform; plus the United States has been bound and thus benefited greatly even behind the return of the United Kingdom, making reform of the international financial order resistance to seems to be back pre-crisis state.

When the global financial system reform, the transfer line of sight to the financial regulatory area, a pro-reform forces again required to have greater leeway and inertial advantage of the U.S. "actively" with the international monetary system reform, it seems unrealistic. Sophistication of the United States and Britain as early as G20 summit seemed Pittsburgh had already set in the set of emerging economies. That meeting, G20 members to reform the international financial regulatory system failed to reach a unified measure of agreement or timetable. Although the final statement issued by the meeting stressed the countries to take concerted action to improve the financial institutions capital adequacy requirements, coordinate and strengthen the pay system, the formation of international standards, improve the counter trading of financial derivatives market regulation. But the summit statement said the reforms in these areas, countries will have their own specific measures and timetables. Since then, the major developed countries, attention gradually shifted to the international financial reform will look protracted debate on financial regulation. Perhaps the G20 summit in Seoul, the world's major banks are expected to formally approve the new rules, but put into the implementation level is clearly easier said than done. Although the European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet optimistic believe that the U.S. government would follow the agreement reached last Sunday of the new banking regulatory standards, but French Finance Minister Lagarde has expressed concern. French people think that all regions must fully implement the new regulations, as this is to ensure financial stability and the basis of equality. If the U.S. does not implement this provision, the French will not be implemented. Overall, unless the United States to implement the new regulatory standards, otherwise Europe will not implement the new policy.

The global debate on financial supervision, but the leader of the established order the transfer of a monetary system reform vision in mind coup. I have said many times in this column, on the vested interests, both to give up the status of the international monetary system must be very painful, and the establishment of China advocates a fair, equitable, inclusive and orderly international financial order, need to After several rounds of the parties involved continue to game. Once Wall Street and the City of London once again become a dominant global financial center and power of symbols, the financial dominance of China to win, no doubt much more difficult. Enough to balance the U.S. influence in the East Wall Street appears, the world should not expect Lehman Brothers set off by the global financial system to achieve a fundamental breakthrough shuffle.

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