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The following article was published in our article directory on October 18, 2010.
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Need to Collaborate with Each Ather Around the World

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

China has a poem, called "east west sunrise Rain", this is described as volatile weather, but if used to describe the current world economy seems very appropriate. United States, Europe's economy the profound impact of the financial crisis, as the London winter, "raining." In contrast, the Asian economy is full of "sunshine", to maintain good growth momentum. Over the past decade, China has been economic growth in Asia's fastest growing economy in the world in general concerned about China's economic trends, investment environment and the RMB exchange rate issue, I talk about personal views on this.

The first issue is China's economic trends. This is to be both the short and long-term perspective. In the short term, recently published data show that China's national economy, the Chinese economy is still strong growth momentum, although the economic slowdown, but no abnormal changes. Economic growth is expected in the third quarter was 9.2%, 8.5% for the fourth quarter is expected. Year is expected to 9.8%. As China's rapid economic growth is in the transition to the critical period of steady growth, economic growth is not a bad thing right down, but will help prevent economic growth shifting from fast overheating, help speed up economic restructuring and development patterns.

In the long run, China is accelerating industrialization and urbanization in the rising stage, investment, consumption demand. China's industrialization is still in mid-development stage, compared with developed countries, there is still much catching up space. The next 20 years, China will have 3 million people migrate from rural to urban. China's domestic private investment has accounted for more than half of the total investment, is increasingly becoming an important driving force of China's economic development. China's consumption structure is from food, clothing and shelter-based direction to the line, cars, housing, tourism and strong demand for high-end services. China's regional economic development is uneven, underdeveloped western region. But it also means there are ignorant of the great potential of development of the western region. Therefore, the future development of China's economy is not lack of motivation, we have reason to be optimistic.

The second issue is China's investment environment. Recently, the Chinese leaders have some concerns on the outside of the speech, the general spirit is to please be assured that China's investment environment will only get better. Adhere to the basic state policy of opening up, pursue win-win strategy of opening China's reform and opening up 30 years of sustained and rapid economic development of successful experience. Such a successful experience, why should we give up?

Currently, 22% tax, 28% of the industrial added value, 55% of the import and export, 50% of the technology introduction, about 4500 million people in employment, are the contributions from enterprises with foreign investment. Open and attract foreign investment is a win-win. For China, continue to attract foreign investment for the modernization of the state to provide the necessary capital, advanced technology and valuable management experience as well as many international talents. Foreign investment enterprises, obtaining a substantial return on investment, many foreign-invested enterprises in China as its parent company, highlights the growth of global business and profit center. At present, China is actively committed to the majority of foreign-invested enterprises to create a more open, more optimized investment environment.

The third problem is the RMB exchange rate issue. Recently, the issue was heating up, the international pressure on China, which with certain countries because their economies are closely related, but the issue was "politicized" the. In this connection, I would say the following:

First, the global imbalance is not a result of the exchange rate issue. Some people think that the renminbi is undervalued led to the main world economic imbalances, which is obviously forest for the trees to shirk their own problems and responsibilities. The main reason is the imbalance of the world economy some of the major economies, consumption and savings imbalances, excessive consumption, saving-short, which is reflected in some countries and some emerging economies, there is trade imbalance, in particular the huge U.S. trade deficit and the Asian emerging economies The trade surplus.

Second, the exchange rate and trade surplus does not necessarily linked. China's foreign trade, the United States, the EU trade surplus, but the surrounding Japan, Korea and ASEAN is a deficit; goods trade surplus in services trade deficit; processing trade surplus in general trade deficit. This is obviously no relation between the RMB exchange rate, but the conditions of globalization of trade structure. Similarly, take the Sino-US trade terms, from 1994 until the present, the RMB exchange rate has been rising, especially in July 2005 to further deepen the reform of RMB exchange rate formation mechanism, to the current 22% appreciation against the dollar. The usual logic, the appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollar, should tend to balance Sino-US trade, but from 2005 to 2009, the U.S. trade deficit with China increased rather than decreased. This is precisely that, Sino-US trade imbalance is not mainly due to exchange rate issues, but trade structure. A phenomenon worth noting here that the United States, while a large number of imported consumer goods exports Quedui obstacles, restrictions Benguo high-tech exports to abandon its own comparative advantage.

Third, playing the currency war, trade war does not meet the interests of any party. Since the financial crisis, China has to strive to overcome the crisis and its adverse effects on the other hand, sent a purchasing mission to Europe, stability, and buy the euro bond holders, to help European countries in financial difficulty through. Last year, China's contribution to world economic growth rate of 50%. Only the Chinese economy has maintained steady growth, will be conducive to the gradual recovery of world economy. If the sharp appreciation of the renminbi, the Chinese economy will be damaged, the world economy were spared. Excuse the RMB exchange rate issue, playing the currency war, trade war, no one benefits. There is a Chinese old saying: "benefits both, while confrontation can hurt." Which we deal with monetary and trade issues, it is wisdom.

Fourth, China is not a "currency manipulator", others do not want to be manipulated. In recent years, China is committed to the reform of RMB exchange rate mechanism, the goal is to form the basis of market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies, a managed floating exchange rate system. Exchange rate reform will be gradual in nature, depending on the speed of the reform on China's international balance of payments, depreciation or appreciation of the renminbi to be determined by the market. Some one-off revaluation of the yuan to 25% -40%, which is to manipulate, force us to open the "reverse" so that China's ongoing reform of the exchange rate mechanism halfway. We will not take such a "manipulation therapy."

Currently, the joint efforts of the international community, the world economy is gradually out of the shadow of the international financial crisis, to recovery, but recovery of the foundation is not solid, process imbalance, there is a big uncertainty. In this post-crisis era, the world needs to pull together, rather than the same boat were to "squeeze": the need for beneficial to all, not selfish.

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