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The following article was published in our article directory on October 28, 2010.
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Capture of Hot Money This Pair of Dirty Hands

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

If the hot money compared to a pair of dirty hands, then this year, this pair of dirty hands is always fumble around incessantly, the investment market, the consumer market until the agricultural market generally do a lot of times. Why is this so? Why is this year's hot money will seem so excited? This pair of dirty hands, it is the strength come from? Like where to fumble? The fumble that would cause consequences?

Clarify these issues, stabilize consumption of urban and rural residents is expected to maintain market order, correct price signals to ensure the smooth running of the national economy is very important. Meanwhile, the introduction of appropriate control measures to punish the arrogance of hot money, hot money to prevent excessive speculation in the market cause serious interference until the appropriate macroeconomic policy adjustments, are necessary.

First of all, this year where all the hot money has been scurrying around, this pair of dirty hands incessantly in fumble something. Node is a significant time, since April this year after the introduction of New Deal regulation of real estate, commodity markets, particularly agricultural markets began the unrest. First speculation garlic, ginger, green beans, the latter is the speculation of cotton, sugar, apples. From vegetables to food to fruit, are spared.

Because a lot of hot money of unknown origin deep into the fields of food, vegetables, fruits, and other agricultural markets flows everywhere, many agricultural prices rose sharply, severely disrupted agricultural production, circulation and normal consumption. Moreover, in some special consumer market, such as jade, jade and other markets, there have been recent transaction situation. Sheng speculative hot wind, it is rare.

Why is this so? Many reasons, among them two very important. First, intensified after the real estate regulation, some felt the pressure of real estate speculative funds began to escape, find new opportunities for speculation; Second, since the financial crisis, the international implementation of the loose monetary policy, leading to the proliferation of liquidity, The cost of capital is too low, speculation opportunities and great, great excitement then lead to speculative hot money.

Why the hot money went to agricultural markets, grain, vegetables, fruits and other food on the fumble it? This can also be observed from two aspects. The first real estate investment market is being squeezed, the hot money flows to the economic sector begins with a virtual entity link. The stock market is only recently that up. The hot money was no u-turn. Second, although the variety of agricultural products market, small scale, but the impact of population wide and easy to control.

In general, demand for agricultural products is a relatively stable demand. People daily food intake is basically stable, not ups and downs. Unless the reasons for the supply chain, such as the face of natural disasters will cause price fluctuations, prices of agricultural products generally can only be a slow process of rising. But now the situation is that a considerable part of the rapid surge in prices of agricultural products, the performance is unusual.

This anomaly will be consequences?

First, interference with the normal consumer demand. When the sudden increase in prices of agricultural products, the most direct impact on consumer demand. The price distortions caused by consumer concerns, resulting in consumer demand. Even some rigid requirements, such as vegetables, and grain prices will be as outrageous, resulting in unhappy customers and affect consumer sentiment. Not only that, but also prompted a more serious deterioration in consumer expectations, induced fluctuations in the economy.

Second, the disruption of the price signals. Under normal circumstances, the price is a reflection of supply and demand. When supply and demand reach a balance point between the price came out. The surprise visit of hot money, interferes with the balance between supply and demand, so that the real demand and supply relationship between the destruction. In particular, lift prices by hoarding spreads approach to reap huge profits, but will result in a complete distortion of price signals, until the market collapse.

Third, the misleading of agricultural production. Since a large number of hot money in a short time, agricultural commodity prices rose and pulled a high attractive, farmers would send the wrong signal, causing farmers to expand production. Once the supply of agricultural products far exceeded demand, it will lead to oversupply and lower prices, resulting in the loss of farmers and combat the production enthusiasm of farmers, causing farmers to reduce production, leading to reduced supply of next season.

Fourth, the increased inflation. The level of inflation and prices of agricultural products are closely related. Since the consumer price index of agricultural products in the proportion of up to one-third is a class of great weight, so the sharp surge in prices of agricultural products, will give the whole of society was the inflationary pressure, thereby affecting the implementation of macroeconomic policies implementation, in particular the impact of monetary policy is very clear.

This point of view, hot money flows everywhere, especially in the real economy, jump in the flow of agricultural products around the field, its people the dangers of life is very clear, very direct, but also the smooth functioning of the national economy has a direct interference.

Hot money flows around the face, the method used to Qinzhu it? On the one hand to take control of the money supply, proper control of liquidity, but we also need to take targeted attack methods to strengthen the monitoring of hot money, the relevant market regulation. The only way to bind a pair of dirty hands, running the economy back on track, so that the lives of ordinary people from the interference of hot money.

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