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The following article was published in our article directory on October 29, 2010.
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United States Will Suffer the Japanese Disease

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Growth in the economy is so weak credit demand, interest rate differential has been the case at very low levels, the number of the second round of loose monetary policy can hope to achieve what the Fed's goals?

Although some still question the effect of the number of liberal policies, but as the New York Fed President Dudley has pointed out, "Those people will be able to borrow low-interest funding, will be released some debt income." Perhaps more importantly, The point is that "quantitative easing II can affect the other components of the financial condition, including stock prices and exchange rates."

Struck again when the number of loose, weak dollar almost a foregone conclusion. September, the U.S. dollar nominal effective exchange rate index for the 74.99, the chain fell 1.2%; with this relative, the world's major currencies into a dramatic change in pattern, yen, euro, yuan strengthened continuously, of which 5 consecutive months, the appreciation of the yen, the euro row 3 months appreciation.

U.S. policy has caused the number of liberal European Union, China once again worried. Recently, the Chinese Minister of Commerce Chen Deming at the Canton Fair will be pointed out that the issue of control as the U.S. and international commodity prices continue to rise, was brought to China imported inflation "shock."

For Americans, questioned also felt that the second round of the quantitative easing policy would make the U.S. into Japan since the 90s of last century a similar predicament - the number of liberal policies face of the deflation-style recession.

Nomura Securities that the Japanese bubble burst in through the banking system, that is, loans and deposits in the balance sheet at book value without the transaction, which means that there is no market price signals to identify or solve the problem of bad loans. High levels of debt on liquidation of the enterprises began to be delayed for years after 1997 when treatment has greatly increased the deleveraging pressures. In the United States, the crisis broke out from the capital market, which forced the authorities to act early to identify and resolve the issue of assets and excessive indebtedness. In addition, the focus on commercial real estate bubble in Japan more than U.S. real estate bubble.

Therefore, the Nomura Securities economist Paul Sheard believes that the financial system in the U.S. and Japan are not the same, and the bubble size, number and timing of central bank easing policy introduced have very different attitudes, etc., the number of liberal policies can play a role in the U.S. to help the economy to avoid deflation and maintain recovery.

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