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The following article was published in our article directory on November 4, 2010.
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Obama and Bush the Same Place

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

Economy has cycles, but the voters impatient.

Subprime mortgage crisis, because the slow economic recovery, Obama has been burdened with the "crime." The face of the United States complement each other and each other to contain the monetary and fiscal policy management structure, the face is completely independent of the Federal Reserve, your president, you must produce a brisk mid-term election report card, he had no choice.

As of press time, the election, and polls show the Democratic Party hopeless situation. Obama will face Republican-led House and Senate.

No politicians do not expect applause and cheers, not eager to quick-impact performance, just as no doctor does not expect the patient to go home as soon get out of bed. However, the U.S. monetary policy is completely independent of the position, I am afraid it is intended to restrict professional politicians of the "achievement impulse."

To revive, to growth, control of monetary policy if the Bernanke client was incensed, big hands "loose" some, I believe the first black U.S. president in the history of life will be better than a lot. Although the subprime mortgage crisis caused by global deleveraging, the demand for the crux of economic growth, but to obtain "effective", but not necessarily driven by demand, you can also instigated by liquidity.

Whether the sub-prime crisis, or the previous cyclical problems in the past, have the right to be compared with the flu, treatment programs, in addition to mobilize immune system, adjust the balance, steady recovery, you can also just-do, the most directly to the effectiveness of a needle antibiotics. Two options, the patient also got up and discharged home, and stronger immune system illness, or drug resistance more? Right until the next patient can consider, but you is your problem.

All this is reminiscent of 20 years ago, the summer of 1990 to 1991 short-term U.S. economic downturn, when President Bush is expected to relax monetary policy, Greenspan, but Greenspan can not be ordered to do so, and ultimately lost his re-election, has been are on Greenspan's monetary policy tightening to heart.

That year, Bush has failed in the emergence of a well-known campaign slogan: "Fool, this is the economy!" Now reproduce in the U.S. mid-term elections, the irony of economic governance do not know the meaning of Obama was, but Bush and Obama place the horse the same boat, I am afraid it is precisely the nuances of U.S. monetary policy.

The Federal Reserve was established in 1913 specifically for the task is consistent: that the United States in charge of monetary policy, "technology live." This leaves the U.S. economy carts, by the President and the Fed chairman to keep pace with the two pilots.

Central Bank of the United States solely by the technocrats in charge of its governance characteristics, is more inclined to technical maintenance of stability, from a technical point of view to safeguard the economy, their merits and demerits of the President is not responsible.

I have discussed many times before, the sub-prime crisis, the United States also adopted a policy called quantitative easing, the biggest difference lies in the meantime, China is a loose loose bank credit, the Fed Bank of America is "liberal," while Banks tightening loose on the market: a substantial increase in bank capital adequacy ratio for banks to pay interest on excess reserve, inhibition of the proliferation of foreign bank credit, to be exact, claiming that the Fed can not allow banks to lend, in fact, inhibited the policy banks in the economy completed before the chaos control problem lenders, making the United States continues to face a liquidity squeeze.

In such a low interest rate, liquidity without flooding the environment, the United States has successfully repaired the bank statements, being repaired, real estate, employment, although fast as the eagerness of the outside world, but it seems slow and steady. So far the U.S. economy to enjoy low interest rates, dividends, do not need to pay inflation costs. This monetary policy, in fact, inevitable to enable SMEs to become victims.

The hand fiscal policy, monetary policy directed at Barack Obama the weak link: the 16th consecutive tax relief for SMEs, although currently still a lack of acclaim, but if can persist in the long run, in the right way, sooner or later Things work out of. Currently, you can clearly observe that the United States not short of money large enterprises, with 60% of the revenue from overseas markets, a high degree of internationalization, low interest rate bonds to create low-cost financing environment has become a star and the U.S. economic recovery the highlight. In the traditional cold in August, representing the global 2 / 3 of American companies led by a record volume of the total new record; in the traditional stock market downturn in September, the U.S. stock market rose by 10%, is 71 years to represent the most good September. The earnings season just past, U.S. companies have been the seventh consecutive quarter of more than market expectations, which is not appeared since 1993 in good condition.

But more importantly, the U.S. banks have already started to expand the credit of the. The Fed's latest meeting showed the U.S. bank credit has begun to emerge from the July an upward trend, "the credit crunch appears to have been to the peak, began to improve."

In addition, 9,10 on Obama pushed between the three measures, including 500 billion dollars in transport infrastructure renewal and expansion plans; 100 billion U.S. dollars of tax concession scheme; and a total of 200 billion U.S. dollars in corporate tax cuts proposed . In the U.S. the first round of stimulus in the 787 billion U.S. dollars, according to the U.S. House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Vice-Chairman Issa that has spent 512 billion U.S. dollars, but unfortunately, only 18.5 billion for infrastructure dollars, most of the remaining funds were used to support the financially troubled state of public services.

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