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The following article was published in our article directory on November 4, 2010.
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The Face of High Economic Growth in Korea is Very Painful

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

2010 South Korean economic growth is expected at 6.1%, ranked seventh in the G20 members, and the International Monetary Fund expects economic growth next year is expected to rank Korea G20 fourth place, behind South Korea before the G20 members are China, India and Indonesia, the three economies, economic growth is expected next year were 9.6%, 8.4% and 6.2%.

South Korean economic growth figures are constantly rising behind, both can be understood as South Korean economic recovery is strong, but it must be noted that growth at the expense of high inflation is to endure the "pain data", there is optimism after the long and short term.

Higher exports as the "engine" driving the current round of economic growth in Korea, is an obvious reality. According to relevant statistics, only from the first half of 2010 export data, exports of South Korea has entered the world, "top eight" list. South Korea first half of 2010 exports totaled 221.3 billion U.S. dollars, according to the World Trade Organization (WTO) during the first half of the national export statistics show that South Korea ranked first in the world exports of 7, this is because the export of similar size and Korea, Italy and Belgium in the first half fell by more than two, and South Korea increased by 3.5% year on year, so the ranking of South Korea increased by over 2009 two places. In the main exporting countries in the first half of 2010 only South Korea and the scale of China's exports more than the level before the financial crisis.

But with South Korea, the growth data of domestic inflation index is more severe, just the past 10 months, the domestic inflation rate hit a 20-month growth rate has been the fastest. And other Asian countries, like statistics, South Korea's inflation data seems to always be much lower than the feelings of the people, in fact, inflation in Korea from the "high price cabbage", "high price of beef" can be seen. Consumer organizations from South Korea in November to the latest survey results, in 24 countries and regions in the world of 52 the price of daily necessities, South Korea, the domestic market of beef, milk powder and mobile phone prices and more expensive compared to overseas markets , of which 12 kinds of commodities prices highest in the world top five. Seventy six dollars is equivalent to RMB a cabbage, more than 500 yuan a kilogram of beef, more than 250 yuan ten kg bag of rice, the inflation consequences of this have been unimaginable for the average country. To this end, the Bank of Korea increased slightly in 2010 economic growth forecast, inflation is expected to remain at 3% or more.

From the large environment, as long as the dollar's depreciation trend remains the same, the proliferation of international monetary source of liquidity has not changed, then this inflationary trend will "pop" down, the Bank of Korea to face this embarrassing situation, can do in effect, and some other countries, that is trying to raise interest rates to alleviate the "pain." But this is the export-oriented countries and the gap between domestic demand and consumption-oriented country where the former will worry about interest rates led to decline and even collapse of the export sector, which is not considered excessive, so the former category will show the country to raise interest rates "reluctant "type squeeze slowly drop by drop, then a class but will not hesitate to take firm to raise interest rates again and again.

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