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The following article was published in our article directory on November 4, 2010.
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US A New Round of Quantitative Easing Monetary Policy There is Huge Worry

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

U.S. Federal Reserve announced the second round of wide public concern quantitative easing monetary policy to stimulate the U.S. economic recovery. Fed ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate domestic economic growth for the utility may not be too significant, and for other economies and the international financial system "negative effect" is not be ignored.

Once again "release on"

Federal Reserve monetary policy decision-making Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement on the 3rd, as the United States to improve the current situation of production and employment is still slow pace, the Fed will be before the end of June 2011 to buy 600 billion U.S. dollars of monthly long-term U.S. government bonds, to speed up the United States pace of economic recovery, while maintaining the federal funds rate to 0.25% in the zero level of the same.

The face of the "Great Depression" the most serious financial crisis and economic recession, the administration since the beginning of his introduction of 787 billion U.S. dollars to the fiscal stimulus plan, but the "New Deal" has emerged weakened the effectiveness of signs, experts in the U.S. economy is hard to get rid of short-term high unemployment, high deficits, low inflation trend.

Since December 2008 the federal funds rate to 0.25% to zero after the historical low, who is also promoting employment, stable inflation, the Fed in the use of the dual mission of the price-based instruments of monetary policy has a limited space. From March 2009, the Federal Reserve turned to rely on quantity-oriented monetary policy, through the purchase of 1.7 trillion U.S. dollars in the long-term government bonds, mortgage-backed securities and other rapidly expanding their balance sheets, trying to inject liquidity in this way to stimulate economic growth. Admittedly, the first round of quantitative easing monetary policy in the U.S. financial system from collapse to save play a role.

For the second round of quantitative easing, many economists tend to think that the Fed want to fight one another, through the injection of huge amounts of money to further drive down long-term U.S. interest rates raise inflation expectations, encourage enterprises to borrow to expand production, employment and consumption, to avoid economic stagnation or even recession in position again.

Like "wishful thinking"

Although the second round of quantitative easing Federal Reserve monetary policy approach and the market size and expected close to, but many economists believe that the current slow economic recovery in the U.S., investor and consumer confidence in the context of a serious shortage, the Federal Reserve this policy, For the effect of stimulating the domestic economy or as the fish in the air.

United States is now the most serious problem is lack of effective demand, rather than money supply is not enough. The Fed's loose monetary policy years ago, led to large dollar inflows to the property market, planted a 'sub-prime crisis' seeds,

American economist Henry Kaufman, the policy advocated by Bernanke's recent criticism of "off target" because it would exacerbate the financial market volatility, leading to the American people holding the hands of the continuous depreciation of the dollar.

The current U.S. need for a new round of fiscal stimulus, rather than to further proliferation of liquidity, or the additional liquidity into the real economy will not quickly become assets, but rather into financial institutions and overseas, create new assets bubble.

Short-term effects from the implementation point of view, the price-based instruments of monetary policy transmission mechanism will fail sometimes, the use of quantitative easing measures the effect seems more likely to be immediate. However, the medium and long term, quantitative easing policy can be turned into a driving force on the real economy will depend on the confidence of entrepreneurs and consumers.

As the U.S. current lack of effective demand, companies will increase the salary of employees and weak, becoming more conservative spending habits of people, people on average have less wealth to a decade ago, Bank lending to SMEs is still cautious, property foreclosure crisis reverberations that without the support of the real economy, the U.S. central bank wishful thinking, "Yao Yinzi" of converting the effective role of monetary policy, multiplier effect.

Business research organization The Conference Board announced in late October the U.S. leading economic index in September was up 0.3% in the chain, suggesting the U.S. economy in early 2011 will be continued weakness in the recovery trend, will not be much change; the organization U.S. consumer confidence index compiled in September also fell in February this year, since the low point.

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