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The following article was published in our article directory on November 11, 2010.
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A Variety of Factors Pushing Up Food Prices

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Increase the importance of the food problem, from a recent major acquisition can also be discerned. Australian mining giant to spend 39 billion U.S. dollars hostile bid for Canadian potash company, the acquisition appears to have caused an uproar common, now are inconclusive. Not only Canada has been reluctant to "let go" from time to time in other countries more potential bidders surfaced.

Why District has such a big influence? Final analysis because of food. With the majority of emerging economies and the rise of the middle class, people demand more and more food, no longer limited to the traditional staple food of rice and wheat, meat and dairy and other proteins on the significant increase in demand for used demand for livestock feed grain also will be increased rapidly, which makes chemical fertilizers become a highly sought after strategic resource.

The sharp rise in food prices, not a single factors, but by many factors, both supply and demand fundamentals of the factors, but also the financial side factors, especially in the current quantitative easing policy context.

From the perspective of supply and demand, as the global population growth and living standards in developing countries continue to improve, the demand for food continues to rise. According to FAO's latest forecast, from now until 2050, global population will increase by 30 million, while global food demand will increase by 70%.

And demand is closely related to food supply. This year, around the world have been incidents of natural disasters, food production and exports it to the major impact. For example, why limit the Russian wheat exports, the fundamental reason for this is the country's drought and fire, which led to the Russian half of the wheat crops, desperation, Russia decided to "self-protection." In the major rice exporters, Thailand and Pakistan, serious flooding is to dip the rice harvest, greatly affected the exports.

FAO has pointed out that the urgent need for global agriculture billions of dollars each year of additional investment to increase food production and reduce the negative impact on the environment. The agency pointed out that the existing and projected funding available is far from enough to cope with climate change facing agriculture and food security challenges.

Apart from fundamentals, excessive speculation behavior is also a big push up food prices push hands, such as the Fed and the BOJ's quantitative easing and printing the implementation strategy, the playing of the "accomplices" role.

PFGBEST agricultural futures analysis (blog area) division Hanneken recently pointed out that funds in the futures market speculation this year's international behavior is a major force behind soaring food prices. He said a lot of money into the agricultural futures market speculation, promoted the rapid rise in international food prices this year. In June to August this year, a wave of soaring wheat prices, the hedge funds and other large institutions to do more vigorously wheat, the average weekly amount to buy more than 1 million hand.

And for speculators to provide cheap "bullets", and what the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan and so on. U.S. and Japanese interest rates are close to zero, the euro zone interest rates are historically low, not only that, the balance sheet of over 2 trillion dollars of the Federal Reserve has launched a new round of quantitative easing measures, the financial system, "spreading the money" . A lot of cheap money crazy playing the stock market and commodities and other risky assets, such as an international commodity futures price index has risen to two-year high recently.

Quantitative easing and the U.S. dollar is also closely related, because the United States printing strategy and the consequent high risk appetite, the dollar index over the past three to four months continued to decline. Since most commodities priced in dollars, a weakening dollar also contributed to agricultural and other commodity prices higher.

Push food prices higher and a potential factor is that in the context of high oil prices, countries are increasing the development of biofuels, which also makes a considerable area of land to be used to produce bio-fuel crops, thereby affecting the cultivation and production of traditional food crops.

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