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The following article was published in our article directory on November 16, 2010.
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Bernanke's One-man Show is Not Good to Sing

Article Category: Business

Author Name: Amanda xzh

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is the shadow of the few people out of the financial crisis, one of the freezing order to inject liquidity into financial markets, he will billions of dollars in money into the U.S. economy, from the end of 2008 began to buy government bonds, mortgages securities, or be called quantitative easing policy, the practice of this Bernanke also won the most praise. People generally believe that these initiatives to avoid the deepening global economic crisis.

Now Bernanke once again stress the economic downturn and perhaps he was once again cast him attractive.

Although the U.S. economy does not look at the edge of economic collapse, but still did not return to healthy growth track. 9.6% unemployment rate has been higher than before the economic crisis by 5 percentage points, while according to the current U.S. GDP growth rate can not ease the current situation of high unemployment.

Today, core consumer prices increased only 0.8% over the previous year. Therefore, the Fed meeting in November will be announced on a new round of asset purchase program, which is one of the so-called "quantitative easing monetary policy."

However, Bernanke's plan seems to be no new round of progress in the last round so smoothly. After speaking, today's financial markets than the financial crisis two years ago, a lot of time to health, so for the Fed, by providing extra liquidity to the tremendous growth of economic access to space less likely.

From the point of view to some extent, quantitative easing monetary policy for the effective long-term rates have fallen, but more pressure is often the final effect is more obvious, but also potential negative effects that may exist.

Not creating inflationary

The Fed's asset purchase plan, that is, by increasing asset prices and measures to drive down the dollar, the U.S. economy to achieve growth, but this way, will make emerging market economies in commodity prices and asset bubbles continue to expand.

Meanwhile, the U.S. balance sheet presented on the rapid growth of the project will be cause for concern, and these concerns is from the quantitative easing monetary policy, inflation caused by the panic that is difficult to suppress.

According to the Fed's program, responsible for setting interest rates, the Federal Open Market Committee will be in the middle of next year as the period, the acquisition of 600 billion U.S. dollars in the longer-term U.S. Treasury bonds. There will also be held mortgage securities by maturity accounts received, about 3,000 billion U.S. dollars to buy bonds.

In response, Bernanke explained, "We are not in the manufacture of inflation, I have already said, we do not take inflation rates to levels beyond normal, to have an impact on the economy. As the Fed has two aspects of our mission on and other commitments, the Fed should not prevent the price dropped to a level consistent with price stability. "

Although there are many uncontrollable risk, but the new round of quantitative easing monetary policy is still implemented. Compared to the current inflation, the deflation is even more headache.

Because the deflation will make it more difficult for Americans to get rid of their debt, deflation and economic depression if both the United States, which for the world economy will have a devastating significance. Therefore, in the process of transformation of inflation to deflation, the Fed's policy can be described as forward-looking.

Government debt and economic growth is equally important

Greater risk is not the quantitative easing monetary policy more than the cost of benefits, but the U.S. politicians on the high expectations of the policy.

Although the quantitative easing policy is an effective weapon against deflation, but the impact of the economic recovery is still very limited. It can do, the way is through the depreciation of the dollar to increase exports in order to stimulate economic growth.

However, because many families do not have borrowing capacity, while other families also want to use cash to pay the debt, while those in the larger cash and low interest rate environment of free enterprise will be affected to some degree.

Bernanke advocated relying on its loose monetary policy, it is better to work together U.S. politicians to do more short-term fiscal policy to compensate for lack of unilateral policies Bernanke.

Right now, the first round of stimulus is close to the end, the policy is also a way to reduce the U.S. federal and local government budgets. A new round of fiscal stimulus policy and structural adjustment programs targeted combined effect may be better.

These targeted structural adjustment policies include encouraging banks to reduce mortgage principal, so that homeowners can continue to work while their mortgage payments, but also help reduce unemployment.

However, the U.S. Congress is not necessarily willing to perform, after all, increase in the deficit will increase, while political panic.

Long-term government debt is a serious problem. However, if this is a short-term problems of economic growth that would be wrong.

As the British Government as to the medium-term deficit reduction plan, economic growth and government debt are the two concerns need both. But this also requires great courage, because it means the implementation of measures will reduce the pension and health insurance, which will have a negative impact on voters.

So now need is courage.

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