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The following article was published in our article directory on November 25, 2010.
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Irish Debt Rating Encounter Down

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Korean artillery shocked the global markets, but investors, their concern on this issue is temporary, the focus is still concentrated in Europe, debt crisis, especially with the euro against the dollar looming key technical support level of 1.3333. For this reason, November 23 Standard & Poor's cut the company announced the news of the Irish sovereign debt rating to a considerable extent, the market looking to "grab" the past. It is reported that Standard & Poor's long-term sovereign debt rating to Ireland from "AA-" to cut levels "A", short-term rating from "A-1% 2B" down to "A-1". At the same time, Standard & Poor's also short-term and long-term debt of the country into the credit rating on negative watch to reflect if the EU-led rescue operation could not inhibit the emergence of the Irish capital flight and further reduced the risk rating. A day earlier, Moody's Investors Service said that in view of the Irish banking crisis serious than expected, will cut the country's sovereign credit rating. Although the European crisis of representation debt crisis, euro zone countries, Portugal could be fallen in the next "domino", but the 24 interview in Beijing, the French bank Societe Generale's chief Asia economist Takuji Okubo is still expected to be affected Spain unlikely.

It is reported that after this cut, the Irish's long-term sovereign debt rating is still better than "junk" level and the higher level 5 rating of Greece, and Israel, the Czech Republic and South Korea's foreign currency rating at the same level. Reporter noted that in the Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch, the three major international rating giants, the current Standard & Poor's long-term debt rating of the lowest in Ireland: Moody's rating of "Aa2", higher than the S & P 3 levels. The Fitch rating was "A% 2B", a level higher than the Standard & Poor's.

In fact, the S & P had the Irish long-term sovereign credit rating from "AA" down one level to "AA-", rating outlook is satisfied as "negative," and "negative" outlook reflects the high cost of supporting the financial sector. According to Standard & Poor's Nov. 23 release of a press release, the lower rating is due to the Irish, the State Government to further their own troubled banks to inject money borrowed will exceed expectations. In fact, Ireland was on Sunday officially to the European Union and the International Monetary Fund for financial assistance to support its public finances and to help the banks out of trouble. From Moody's November 22 statement issued point of view, the wish to cut Ireland's sovereign rating is also the main reason to apply foreign aid in the country. The agency said that foreign aid is the handle "double-edged sword", on the one hand to help the Irish response to the crisis, but on the other hand an increase in government debt burden, and thus a negative impact on sovereign credit ratings. Analysts believe that Moody's is likely the only Irish sovereign credit rating to above "junk."

In order to save the fragile banking system, currently Ireland is to discuss with the EU and the IMF rescue plan details and conditions. EU officials estimate the total size of the Irish rescue plan could reach about 850 million euros. S & P said that although the EU and the IMF announced the implementation of assistance to the Irish people are expected to establish confidence in the financial sector liquidity, but still can not reduce the large contingent liabilities, the Government of Ireland, can not eliminate the quality of macroeconomic factors on the negative impact of government assets . Standard & Poor's expects domestic demand is likely to Ireland in 2012 to recover to the end of 2011 the Irish GDP, total debt will exceed the agency originally expected 120%.

Currently, the market is most concerned about is the Irish crisis will spread to other euro-zone countries, leading to further deterioration of the debt crisis in Europe, thus threatening to the European single currency. Bank of Ireland problems out for fear of the spread of the euro against the dollar has dropped to its lowest level in two months, and hurt the stock price. November 23, led by banking stocks in Europe markets, the euro zone economies, the edge of the bond market under pressure, the day of the Spanish bonds have collapsed in the 10-year German bond yields and the difference between bond yields hit a record high since the birth of the euro .

Debt crisis and the prospect of the EU, told reporters in Beijing the same day the French bank Societe Generale's chief Asia economist Takuji Okubo said, after Greece, Ireland, for help to extend the hand of the EU, the euro area member states should be the next for help Portugal, and Spain is not very likely. Societe Generale Bank's global head of commodities research at Russell from the perspective of goods answer to these issues. He said that because the gold is absorbed and the hedge, including sovereign debt crises, inflation, etc., some of the risks, the price trend has been relatively strong over the past three years. As the market worries about the European sovereign debt crises may also take months to subside, gold will be further strengthened, the strong trend at least for months.

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