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The following article was published in our article directory on November 25, 2010.
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U.S. Municipal Debt Yield Substantially Growth

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

Last week the U.S. municipal bond market, bad news gathering: the size of California issued 100 billion U.S. dollars, period of 7-8 months, short-term notes, forced to yield to increase by 25 basis points after the transaction. In other words, it's borrowing costs, within six months need to pay $ 14,000,000 in interest. When the week, the highest rating of 10-year U.S. municipal bond yields to 3%, even more than some corporate bond yields.

Warren Buffett United States, together with many senior Wall Street analysts had been warning of a possible U.S. municipal debt crisis, this is really "crying wolf"?

Municipal Bond Commission means the United States by state, municipal and other bonds issued by local government, community transport, schools, hospitals, urban management and other project financing. Short-term notes can be a few months, long-term bonds can be for many years, even 40 years. Traditional municipal bond investment income generally exempt from federal, state and local government income tax, which was to attract investors, a major factor.

Municipal bonds divided into two categories: general bonds and revenue bonds. The former received the full support of the Government, by way of tax revenue or other charges paid; the latter for a specific project financing, means of payment also depends on the income of specific projects. In short, the municipal bonds because of the taxing power of the executive government backing, is considered secure than corporate bonds, credit rating after the United States Treasury bonds.

Followed the American tradition of the upper and lower fiscal deficits and debt, the United States in recent years local governments have faced deficits, budget unsupported dilemma. According to the U.S. Center for Budget and Policy Priorities of statistics, the United States in 2012, state governments may be 130 billion U.S. dollars of the budget hole. California, for example, the state will appear in the next year and a half of the fiscal hole 25 billion U.S. dollars, six weeks before the state government has introduced the Bill, decided to eliminate the budget deficit of 19 billion U.S. dollars, and sold the 24 government buildings.

Buffett in June in the U.S. financial crisis, the Commission of Inquiry hearing that "municipal debt will be a serious problem, and is dependent on the federal government reach out to help," "I do not know how ratings of these bonds, they are now AAA rating. " He also has holdings of municipal bonds.

Other Wall Street analysts are forecasting: a large-scale municipal debt default less than the sub-prime crisis, will result in the collapse of the financial industry, and finally need to come forward to save the U.S. government.

But last week a series of bad news does not mean municipal debt crisis of the "crying wolf." Widely considered to be blending with a number of factors and the formation of short-term market effects of supply and demand imbalance, rather than the government bad credit, debt default problem. Overall, the U.S. municipal bond market, the yield was low in the history, the price remains high, rating or higher credit ratings. Three decades, the default rate was 0.5%, the market considered the most secure after a U.S. federal bond debt varieties.

This year in August, the U.S. Treasury by the bankers and investment managers issued an advisory committee report said: "municipal bonds look pretty good condition, large level, the Government's default probability is small, the recovery rate, the proportion of debt is low, there many of the risk mitigation measures such as tax increases, spending cuts, other fund-raising methods, reserve fund. "

But even now, "escaped the first day", can be sure in the future, "spared the fifth." U.S. long-term municipal debt is a serious problem, if not to strengthen supervision, and effectively balance the risk can not be taken lightly.

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