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The following article was published in our article directory on November 25, 2010.
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North Korea and the Korean Conflict have Limited Impact on the Price of Gold

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Between North and South Korea on Tuesday the most serious outbreak of military conflict over the years, North Korea extended to the Korean-controlled island of firing hundreds of artillery shells floor, causing a number of houses on fire and many casualties. South Korean military has fought back, while South Korea declared a "state of emergency", Korean situation suddenly became very nervous. 1.46% night of the international price of gold rose to $ 1,379 / ounce. I believe that further escalation of the conflict between the two countries is unlikely, the international price of gold will continue to maintain the original trajectory, such as the gold price in the short term is therefore ascribed to the pressure faced by the callback.

Geopolitical risk a greater impact on the price of gold. Generally speaking, the world's major political, military events will affect the price of gold, especially the war in the Middle East, crude oil rose a greater impact on the price of gold. If the history of the Middle East war, the Islamic revolution, the war in Iraq and so on, are to promote the gold price rose sharply in the given period.

Although the Korean region often have territorial disputes and misfires, but evolved into large-scale war less likely, therefore, relatively low price of gold. However, if the next major event in North and South Korea due to large-scale war does occur, will be to China, the United States and other big powers come in volume at this time of geopolitical crisis will push the price of gold rose. The two Koreas exchanged fire after the incident, the reason why the price of gold in the day or larger, more because of concerns over debt crisis will spread to Europe and other large economies of Spain, the Spanish short-term credit rates nearly doubling in the day.

Intensification of inter-Korean conflict less likely. Despite the shelling has caused the Korean casualties, but further expansion of military conflict less likely. North and South Korea's military allies are China and the United States, China and the United States will launch the Korean War are very low. Ongoing economic restructuring in China, the United States economic crisis and high unemployment in the quagmire, too busy to take into account North Korea, two countries in the incident have said the two sides to exercise restraint and avoid further deterioration of the situation.

South Korea and North Korea do not want to intensify the military conflict, large-scale war if the Korean peninsula, South Korea, the loss will be very large. South Korean capital Seoul on the accounting for half of GDP, accounting for a quarter of the population. This is directly exposed to an economic center in North Korea within the range of artillery and missiles, North Korea was a nuclear country, security and economic vulnerability leads to North Korea can not make a substantive action.

North Korea also would like shelling only the concern of the international community to improve in the future the right to speak in the six-party talks, North Korea know that it is difficult to account for the United States to wage war any cheaper. Not continuous after the attack North Korea, South Korea's response is also more restrained, so the two sides will not develop into war, most likely waiting for the UN Security Council sanctions resolution.

After the previous military conflict Korean gold performance. Korean western sea border in the Korean peninsula has been divided differences, since 1999, the two Koreas as "northern boundary" problem occurred four times more serious military conflict, after the incident the previous three gold prices rose only slightly. The shelling would not expect a significant impact on the price of gold.

Greater impact on the price of gold current factor is whether the debt crisis spread to Europe, Spain and other countries, and the Federal Reserve's implementation of the quantitative easing policy.

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