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The following article was published in our article directory on December 21, 2010.
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Emerging Economies Have Faced Task of Curbing Inflation

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Deutsche Bank estimated in 2011 the average inflation rate in emerging economies will remain at 6% or more, you need to take more effective monetary policy tightening

The shadow of European sovereign debt crisis has not completely dissipated, the developed economies of consumption and employment remained weak, and some emerging economies facing the risk of inflation has been very obvious. In 2011, emerging economies may be forced to adopt more effective monetary policy tightening, and inflation top priority.

Deutsche Bank recently released "Global Economic Prospects 2011 report," expected next year, global economic growth will be 4.7% this year, slowing to 3.9% -4%. Future global economic recovery, will show a "track" the situation that developed economies and emerging economies, the recovery situation and policy responses will differ.

Led by the United States and most developed economies in Europe, compared to its historical level of the total economy has undergone tremendous decline, and take a long time to slow the economy to fill this huge gap between the total, while the emerging economies showed only slight growth slowdown than in the past, will continue in the future than the global average.

The Outlook report, global inflation has risen from the low recovery of economic recession rebound. Future inflation rate will be further slight rebound, but the United States, Europe and Japan's inflation rate will still be at or below the expected level, while the average inflation rate in emerging markets will remain at 6% or more.

To this end, emerging economies may be forced in 2011 to take more effective monetary policy tightening in response to inflation risks. Deutsche Bank also noted that with the return of inflation to the target level, the ECB and the Fed will start to exit the policy in 2011.

The report predicts that China's inflation trend in 2011 will be a "high to low" trend, the inflation rate will continue to rise during the first half, while in the second half will be declined. China will take in the first two quarters of 2011, more stringent monetary policy. In the next seven quarters, China's benchmark interest rate may rise 75 basis points year on year growth rate of the loan will be from 20% in 2010 down to about 15% in 2011.

Rising inflation pressures and slowing economic growth against the backdrop, the Chinese government will delay the next few months as water, electricity, gas and fuel price increases. At the same time, dividends paid to increase the proportion of state-owned enterprises, the upgrading of the manufacturing sector, the RMB internationalization, service tax cuts and deregulation of deposit interest rate and other reforms, is expected to make progress in 2011.

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