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The following article was published in our article directory on January 24, 2011.
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The RMB Shouldn't Appreciate Again

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

BBS expires in 2011 winter davos held on January 26, BBS eve, tencent finance is some hot issues invite domestic famous scholars and experts guest tencent tencent micro bo "celebrity micro distance", answer the question, for a winter netizen davos BBS preheating. This please of the guest is China's foreign investment research institute President TanYaLing, she is RMB appreciation and other issues with tencent micro bo net friend had an interactive.

In the interactive, TanYaLing on currency policy express a striking attitude: RMB should not continue to rise, appreciation of unilateral down unilateral expected need to change.

With reform cope with appreciation pressure

She thinks the current unilateral appreciation is against the market rule, not enterprise performance embodiment. Although the reasonable price, but it is difficult to assess from foreign trade enterprises and export industries perspective, 7-7.2 is small and medium-sized enterprise dead line, 6.5 large state-owned enterprises, and at present the dead line against the dollar has entered 6.5 times. In addition, TanYaLing also points out that hk $exchange rate for the dollar as a reference, at present the exchange rate in 7.8 around.

Why the continued appreciation of RMB for users of doubt, TanYaLing explanation says, this is mainly because American pressure from bush to cause, barack Obama, RMB was revalued 20% more, but the United States is still in pressure. She says, that officials now have not accept continue to rise the situation, premier wen and President hu's speech have showed that attitude, just give us the pressure is too high.

TanYaLing thinks, this kind of pressure does not hard, but the reform should carry to perfect the exchange rate system. She thinks that, in order to resist upward pressure, ideal conditions should be system and market supporting sound, we now lack is effective market. She thinks, at present people too keen market and fund, deviated from foreign exchange and gold market, establish good let people and foreign exchange gold trading market system, and perfecting public investment philosophy before you can form effective exchange rate market.

Financial and economic core interests for national service

TanYaLing think that their economic problems and financial problems without political, the United States was using economic and financial to serve its political interests, their strategic interests core is very clear, is the hegemony of $, But China's strategic core interests where a little vague, lack of practical foothold. TanYaLing says she looking forward to this year's two meetings to discuss this problem.

She said, China's current internal reform in a very sensitive period, at the same time structure adjustment is vital, and this period should be relatively stable exchange rate, even a little bit devaluation, give yourself reform onservative. And let the stable exchange rate is to need courage,

TanYaLing suggest vigilant Japan's experience, she argues that although current China and Japan once was also has difference, but that the yen is free currency, the yuan, is now domestic currency is not free carry risks, local currency harder to bear.

Before Spring Festival not rates but 2011 meeting rates of times

For many netizens put forward a rise of the problem, TanYaLing rates, said before the Spring Festival, it is highly unlikely that one is our country's internal market structure problems, not with rates can be completely resolved. On the other hand, more importantly, we with external market spread obvious existence, yuan appreciation expectations and very intense, if interest rate hikes are to give ourselves "a difficult on chaos". |

But for 2011 year-round, she thinks rates could have four to six times, on the one hand, have our own internal inflationary pressure, but it is more important to the fed's factors, including the dollar drive commodity factors. Because the future fed rate rises pace will soon, market club, so China needs feeding inferior to interest rate adjustment of now rhythm and frequency planned.

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