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The following article was published in our article directory on March 17, 2011.
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The federal reserve maintaining monetary loose unchanged real estate is still dragging beauty economy hind legs

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Sources: economic reference quote March 17, 2011 01:04 me two sentences (0) copy link medium sized print medium the United States federal reserve 15 decided to maintain existing ultracapacitors looser monetary policy unchanged, said the real estate market is setback slow economic recovery is one of the main reasons why. Similarly, former federal reserve chairman Alan greenspan day also expressed the same view. In Japan, earthquake, Middle East north Africa turmoil and other international situation under, continuing high unemployment, the future direction of the U.S. economy are mixed views from all walks of the fed, the policy choice, experts future hugely divided.

The fed continue to loose the growth

Washington, March 15, local time, the second time this year, the federal reserve held after discussion interest meeting, in a statement, the us economic recovery, will therefore momentum solid in a long time to maintain existing 0-0.25% of ultra-low interest rates unchanged, and continue to fulfill ongoing $600 billion of debt purchase plan.

Fed monetary policy decision-making organ federal open market committee issued a statement that day since January meeting, points out that the message is displayed, the U.S. economy there has been a recent signs of recovery momentum, strengthen job market is improving, consumer spending further improved, but state unemployment rates remained high.

In January, the fed compared with the expression of inflation adjusted slightly, says core inflation level "mild" and reiterated that "long-term inflation expectations remain stable".

The fed since that, since last summer, international commodity prices to rise to the United States of America strong upward pressure, brought inflation expectations of future price recently reflect consumer expectations index has also increased, the fed will closely monitor inflation and inflation expectations variations. The commission is expected effect of high oil prices will be temporary, U.S. long-term inflation expectations still stable.

The statement also pointed out that the real estate market is still drag economic recovery, commercial real estate market especially weak.

Real estate weak still dragging beauty economy hind legs

The fed statement, real estate market weakness to drag down the U.S. economic recovery, and former federal reserve chairman Alan greenspan also published in that day, but his point was the same.

Greenspan 15, held in Washington, said a seminar for firms illiquid fixed assets long-term investment the us economic recovery will slow down the key reasons. He said, the enterprise investment in fixed assets will descend to the 1940s, the lowest since the American family for real estate illiquid fixed assets long-term investment will also declined, affected the U.S. economy overall recovery.

Standard &poor's company has issued a middle-man friedrich Schiller prices index showed that last December, the United States 20 large and medium-sized city house prices fell 1.0%, compared to 2.4% year-on-year drop in December 2009, the biggest drop since year-on-year. Except the Washington house prices rose slightly, the rest 19 cities outside prices continue to fall.

Washington think-tank published brookings institution 14 U.S. 100 cities economic recovery assessment report shows, in recent years from financial crisis and the worst economic downturn hit American city has appeared in real estate market bottomed situation.

Analysts pointed out that the American enterprise spare capacity, economic recovery still save more uncertainty, enterprise in increase equipment illiquid fixed assets and provide more enthusiasm for long-term employees is not high, boosting employment effect obvious construction etc labor-intensive industry recovery, with the help of more scientific means lagging American manufacturing production of employment absorption capacity, which makes long slide in real estate and the job market recovery slow.

In order to eliminate the American housing market uncertainty, U.S. Treasury secretary cover Turner 15 in senate testimony, said if wrong when the beauty and real estate with room beauty dominance of the American housing mortgage market reforms, the United States of the uncertainty of the real estate market will intensify, caused the financial crisis market fundamental flaw also can't get fixed.

Market experts think by high unemployment rate, the preferential policies expire and buy houses and redemption, check stock property number factors such as high impact, American real estate is still weak, developer enthusiasm is not high, recovery investment still need more time.

Big policy toward differences

The uncertainty of the future economy caused from all walks of life to the federal reserve policy toward the future differences.

Bloomberg 15, a survey released, most economists believe the fed will finish $600 billion of debt purchase plan, but in the plan after the completion of the due debts again how the fed execute investment policy on this issue, economists view appeared greater differentiation.

Surveys show that in 50 surveyed, 49 home economics economists think the fed will be completed in full $600 billion of debt purchase plan, to stimulate economic growth; 31 economists believe that the fed won't adjust the pace of Treasury buying programs or duration.

But economists at the federal reserve, how will complete Q E2 began after the execution of last August due debts before the investment policy disagreements between the obvious. Five economists believe the fed will finish in Q E2 suspension after the policy; 11 economists think will continue to maintain investment policy again 1 to 3 months; 16 economists think will maintain 4 to 6 months; 14 economists think will maintain 7 to 9 months; Four other economists say will maintain more than nine months.

Raymond James partnership company chief economist Scott brown said, the viewpoint of America appear differences reflect the strength of the economic recovery assessment is different. He says, in fact the fed high-level there is a similar differentiation between. Swiss reinsurance Co., LTD, chief economist in New York Kurt card caleb said, this suggests that the fed to expire before the debt investment policy benefits are "uncertainty".

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