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The following article was published in our article directory on April 19, 2013.
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Gold, Silver, And The Forex Chronicles

Article Category: Advice

Author Name: Dr. Jeffrey Lewis

The Forex market may really be seeing the beginning of the crack up advancement where conventional currencies like precious metals will normally reassert themselves just as world monetary growth starts to genuinely increase.

The concentrated shorts in the gold and silver markets have actually acted as the governor, preventing the true expression of the paper currency value of real money for decades.

It seems to be no coincidence that their market prominence was allowed in a big part by the luxury of interested entities enjoying low-cost access to the world's major reserve currency.

A Summary of the Current Timeline

It appears pertinent to evaluate some of the recent historic events and scenarios that have brought the Forex to its present tenuous state.

The first element to think about is the credit bust. For a lot of years, returning to the 1990's, the Fed's and other major central banks' policies have incentivized leveraged speculation. This has actually cultivated an enormous inflation in the international pool of speculative finance that developed a circumstance where too much market-based liquidity or "cash" has been chasing too few financial assets.

The second aspect is the massive increase in financial stimulation programs. One result of these substantial quantitative easing and bailout packages is that unprecedented monetary creation is largely bypassing real economic climates on its way to developing bubbles in worldwide securities markets.

The 3rd factor is the realty of out of control government budget plans. The current U.S. government budget released showed an increase in spending, as the much-publicized debt ceiling restriction is continuously raised and adherence to it postponed. Nevertheless, that ceiling was a crucial-- albeit probably symbolic-- gesture that telegraphed to the rest of the world there would be some limitations to the huge financial obligations currently built up by the United States.

Lastly, the current banking crisis in Cyprus has actually presented the world with a design template for the first direct bail-in, where bank investors and depositors help manage its failure to operate in a commercially practical manner.

Global Monetary Expansion Continues

Japan recently revealed further radical stimulus measures to help stimulate its flagging economy. This enhancing trend toward enhancing the Japanese money supply has resulted in a dramatically weaker Yen, which has actually declined from a historical high of 75.55 Yen to the Dollar seen in October 2011 to a current high of 99.94 touched on April 11th of this year.

Another remarkable event has actually been the parabolic rise in Bitcoin noted over the last couple of years, only to see the electronic currency crash hard in exceptionally unpredictable current trading. The crash can be found in the wake of some recent Denial of Service attacks on Bitcoin's primary dealing website Mt. Gox that handles approximately 80 percent of its market.

The rates of silver and gold have actually also been struck hard enough to break a vital 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement degree that in turn provoked additional technical selling. The sharp sell-off in the precious metals has easily permitted J.P. Morgan Chase to exit some of its concentrated selling.

The Money Supply and Fiat Creation

Basically, the world's stock of fiat money is not contracting-- rather the opposite, in fact. Japan has just introduced its 'stimulus on steroids plan', which will see the developed world's most indebted economy create a proposed $1.4 trillion in Yen in a bid to break its economy free from depression and the questionable danger of deflation.

Nor is money creation in the West most likely to go away, although previously this month, the FOMC did reference that it may lower its asset purchases later this year and that the committee was divided on the dangers of continued extremely easy financial policy.

Furthermore, existing Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney's departure to head the Bank of England is expected to result in a trend toward more activist financial policy in the UK too.

Triple Forex - Money Cracking Up As a Reflection of Confidence.

On the world's forex market, current weakness in the commodity currencies like the Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars has been kept in mind in the wake of the remarkable sell-off in the gold and silver markets seen over the past week.

These currency moves tend to highlight current UNITED STATES Dollar strength, more so than being a reflection of the current product downdraft. Nevertheless, recent events could really represent the last gasp of King Dollar, as inflationary U.S. monetary and budgetary policies continue to chip away at the value structure of the world's primary reserve currency.

Gold and silver now appear to have discovered excellent support, with retail physical sales reportedly booming at the lower rates, regardless of heavy down pressure exerted on the paper futures markets.

The use of barter likewise seems to be increasing in appeal as a method of value exchange, as people turn away from fiat currencies in droves. In addition, the recent rout in Bitcoin rates, has actually drawn significant media attention to the use of that electronic currency as an alternative medium of exchange to fiat currency.

Falling Prices Rates Might Speed up Monetary Growth

Falling commodity rates are simply an additional indication of failed policy that might well set the stage for a further acceleration in monetary growth.

Speculative excess today incorporates all markets, with big money accumulated on both the long and selling sides of the financial markets.

Ultimately, it is the big shorts who seem to trigger the sell-offs in the commodities like gold and silver, most likely so that they can cover their positions at a profit.

Keywords: gold silver, gold and silver, gold and silver prices, gold silver price

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